Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.541136 3.763275 4.001442 4.277454 4.590682 4.937766 5.355259
2025-05-04 3.344243 3.664063 4.027690 4.478232 5.031206 5.701822 6.600657
2025-05-11 3.141316 3.523901 3.979640 4.576831 5.362831 6.402378 7.964371
2025-05-18 2.937362 3.355881 3.873137 4.583034 5.576075 7.000329 9.407606
2025-05-25 2.710424 3.135480 3.674412 4.439010 5.558531 7.271052 10.477665
2025-06-01 2.553598 2.988940 3.554517 4.383432 5.654802 7.738862 12.139988
2025-06-08 2.427528 2.871043 3.459938 4.349207 5.774875 8.280569 14.333038
2025-06-15 2.337684 2.793389 3.411840 4.374868 5.993407 9.071489 17.901087
2025-06-22 2.221463 2.671481 3.290608 4.273770 5.978294 9.402301 20.645001
2025-06-29 2.102702 2.538961 3.144445 4.118275 5.841817 9.437075 22.515958
2025-07-06 2.014509 2.444104 3.046535 4.030304 5.815642 9.720542 26.096737
2025-07-13 1.995108 2.444176 3.087409 4.171759 6.249043 11.314545 43.234310
2025-07-20 1.953330 2.415568 3.091546 4.268087 6.653654 13.246824 101.233805
2025-07-27 1.924872 2.404742 3.122670 4.418090 7.227548 16.399853 NaN
2025-08-03 1.878750 2.365052 3.105225 4.478643 7.624935 19.608810 NaN
2025-08-10 1.820850 2.304428 3.049459 4.460027 7.826677 22.421053 NaN
2025-08-17 1.742652 2.209305 2.931130 4.306912 7.636433 22.765332 NaN
2025-08-24 1.686637 2.145640 2.861249 4.243457 7.684004 24.984532 NaN
2025-08-31 1.639052 2.092737 2.806041 4.203769 7.793073 28.202782 NaN
2025-09-07 1.604873 2.058921 2.780759 4.222639 8.087304 34.719306 NaN
2025-09-14 1.553905 1.996755 2.703442 4.124375 7.990478 36.716112 NaN
2025-09-21 1.497900 1.924841 2.606188 3.976323 7.705189 35.448578 NaN
2025-09-28 1.455277 1.872653 2.540886 3.892284 7.618550 37.345491 NaN